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Browns vs. Steelers odds, line, spread: Monday Night Football picks, prediction from model on 134-96 roll

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The AFC North’s bottom two teams will wrap up the Week 17 NFL schedule on Monday Night Football. The Cleveland Browns (7-8) will visit Heinz Field for a matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-7-1). Pittsburgh edged out Cleveland in a low-scoring contest in Week 8, but can it sweep the season series? Slowing down the visiting team’s ground game could be essential.

Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. The Browns are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Browns vs. Steelers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 41. Before making any Browns vs. Steelers picks and NFL predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,100 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 17 of the 2021 season on an incredible 134-96 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.


Now, the model has set its sights on Browns vs. Steelers and revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Browns vs. Steelers:

  • Browns vs. Steelers spread: Browns -3.5
  • Browns vs. Steelers over-under: 41 points
  • Browns vs. Steelers money line: Browns -175, Steelers +150
  • CLE: Total has gone under in four of the Browns’ previous five games
  • PIT: Steelers are 5-0-1 straight-up in their last six home games
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Why the Browns can cover

Quarterback Baker Mayfield has had a down year under center, but Cleveland remains a dominant running team. The Browns rank third in total rushing yards despite dealing with multiple injuries in their running back room throughout 2021. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are likely on track to play against an abysmal run defense in Week 17.

The Steelers have given up the most rushing yards in the NFL this season. The favorites could even up the season series if they control the trenches and Pittsburgh’s passing struggles persist.

Why the Steelers can cover

The Steelers have been a let-down overall in 2021 but have handled business at home. Cleveland, on the other hand, has struggled on the road. The Browns have lost five of their seven road games this season and lost to Pittsburgh as home favorites earlier this year.

The Steelers have the NFL’s worst run defense ahead of Week 17 but contained the Browns’ backfield earlier this season. Pittsburgh held Nick Chubb to 61 yards and no scores on 16 carries. Heinz Field is a tough place to play and the Steelers’ record as home underdogs shows that. The Steelers are 2-0 straight-up and against the spread as home underdogs. Baker Mayfield has thrown eight touchdowns and six interceptions on the road this year, and Pittsburgh can stay close to cover if his struggles persist.

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How to make Browns vs. Steelers picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 41 combined points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model’s Monday Night Football picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Steelers vs. Browns on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits more than 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Browns spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,100 on its top-rated NFL picks.

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