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Chiefs vs. Chargers odds, picks, how to watch, live stream: Model reveals 2021 Week 3 NFL predictions, bets

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After Justin Herbert won Rookie of the Year honors a season ago, the Los Angeles Chargers are hoping to get to where the Kansas City Chiefs have been in recent years. The Chiefs have won the AFC West five times in a row, and since Patrick Mahomes took over as the starter, they’ve been to at least the AFC Championship Game every season. Both franchises are off to 1-1 starts in 2021 and will go head-to-head in a pivotal AFC West matchup on Sunday.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The latest Chiefs vs. Chargers odds have Kansas City as a seven-point favorite according to Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under for total points is 54.5. In select markets, Sunday’s matchup can be seen live on CBS and streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan.

Paramount+ now has levels of membership so you can watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more. The Premium Plan is $9.99 per month and you can watch your local CBS live stream, including plenty of sports like SEC on CBS, NFL on CBS, and the PGA Tour, with no ads, on demand and the ability to download episodes for offline viewing. Both plans come with a free week to start and include the NFL on CBS, so sign up now here.

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How to watch Chiefs vs. Chargers

  • Date: Sunday, Sept. 26
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS 
  • Streaming: Paramount+

Week 3 NFL picks for Chargers vs. Chiefs

Before you tune in to Sunday’s Chiefs vs. Chargers game, you need to see the NFL picks from SportsLine’s advanced computer model. The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 3 of the 2021 season on an incredible 122-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

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The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

For Chiefs vs. Chargers, the model is backing Kansas City to cover as a seven-point favorite. Both teams have been prolific through the air so far this season but have shown defensive weakness against quality opponents. The Chiefs gave up over 450 yards to the Browns and Ravens, while the Chargers allowed over 400 yards to the Cowboys a week ago.

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That would lead most to believe that Sunday will be a shootout, as evidenced by the over-under of 54.5 points, and that’s simply a setting that favors Mahomes. The 2018 NFL MVP has led the Chiefs to at least 30 points in 30 of his 48 career regular-season starts and in six of his nine postseason starts.

Turnover margin could also play a critical role in a high-scoring game and the Chiefs are plus-two this season. The Chargers have turned the ball over four times and generated only two takeaways through two games. The model likes the Chiefs to win the turnover battle in this one, helping Kansas City cover the spread in well over 50 percent of simulations.

How to watch, live stream the NFL on CBS

Now that you know what to pick, get ready to watch your live local NFL on CBS games on Paramount+ on any device you want. Visit Paramount+ now to stream your live local CBS sporting events, including the NFL, SEC on CBS, and so much more


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