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Colts vs. Jets player props, odds, Thursday Night Football picks: Carson Wentz under 245.5 passing yards

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Despite losing to the Titans in overtime last week to drop three games back in the AFC South, the Indianapolis Colts have to feel like they’re still in the hunt with news that Derrick Henry (foot) is out indefinitely. But they’ll need to pile up a lot of wins and that starts on Thursday Night Football in Week 9 against the Jets. New York is coming off an impressive come-from-behind over the Bengals last week powered by over 400 passing yards by former fifth-round pick Mike White.

That massive performance helped one NFL prop bettor turn $1,000 into $126,000 as White led the NFL in passing yards in Week 8, but should you be hitting the Mike White props hard for Thursday Night Football? The latest Colts vs. Jets prop odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the over-under for White passing yards at 255.5. Before making any NFL prop bets for Thursday Night Football, you need to see the Jets vs. Colts prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-86 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

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The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

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It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. Last season, its NFL prop bets went 389-310, returning over $3,000.

With Colts vs. Jets on Thursday Night Football, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Colts vs. Jets

After simulating Jets vs. Colts 10,000 times, the model predicts that Colts quarterback Carson Wentz will fall short of 245.5 passing yards (-115). Wentz was acquired in a trade with the Eagles this offseason with hopes that Frank Reich would revive his career. But the Colts have lacked explosiveness in the passing game and Wentz has been more game manager than MVP candidate as he was when he last worked with Reich.

Wentz threw for 402 yards in a loss to the Ravens in primetime earlier this season but has thrown for 251 yards or less in his other seven starts. In his last four starts, he’s thrown for just 604 yards and he’s failed to throw for more than 245.5 yards in five of his last six games. That’s why the model is projecting that Wentz finishes with just 239 yards on average.

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SportsLine’s NFL model also says Jets running back Michael Carter will go under 49.5 rushing yards. The rookie out of North Carolina is coming off his best game of the season, rushing for 77 yards and a score and catching nine passes for 95 yards in the win over the Bengals.

However, he’s still averaging just 3.8 yards per carry this season and he failed to rush for more than in each of his previous four games before the Cincinnati breakout performance. And with the Colts favored by 10.5 points, game flow isn’t likely to work in Carter’s favor, as he’s more likely to be catching passes out of the backfield if the Jets are trailing than taking handoffs. The model projects that Carter finishes with just 41 yards and sees value on the under for a +100 payout.

How to make NFL player prop bets for Jets vs. Colts

In addition, the model says another star easily surpasses his yardage total and has another plus-money prop payout you’ll want to jump on. You need to see the model’s analysis before making any Colts vs. Jets prop bets for Thursday.

Which Jets vs. Colts prop bets should you back on Thursday Night Football? And which plus-money prop is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Colts vs. Jets prop bets, all from the model that’s up almost $7,800 on top-rated NFL picks.

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