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Steelers vs. Chiefs odds, line: 2022 NFL playoff picks, Wild Card prediction from proven model on 136-97 roll

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The Kansas City Chiefs will try to become the first team since the New England Patriots to reach the Super Bowl in three consecutive seasons, but will need to post three straight wins to do it. The Chiefs (12-5) will begin their quest on Sunday night when they take on the visiting Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7-1) in an AFC Wild Card game in the 2022 NFL playoff bracket. The Patriots reached the Super Bowl in three straight years from 2016 to 2018, going 2-1 in the process. This is Kansas City’s seventh consecutive postseason appearance, while Pittsburgh is in the NFL playoffs for the second year in a row.

Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a 12.5-point favorite in the latest Steelers vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 46. Before you make any Steelers vs. Chiefs bets, make sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,400 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters the 2021 NFL playoffs on an incredible 136-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

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The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.


Now, the model has simulated Steelers vs. Chiefs 10,000 times and just revealed its NFL expert picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s NFL Wild Card Weekend picks. Here are several NFL odds and Wild Card playoff betting lines for Steelers vs. Chiefs:

  • Steelers vs. Chiefs spread: Chiefs -12.5 
  • Steelers vs. Chiefs over-under: 46 points 
  • Steelers vs. Chiefs money line: Pittsburgh +550, Kansas City -800 
  • PIT: Steelers are 16-6-3 against the spread in their last 25 games in January 
  • KC: Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as home favorites

Featured Game | Kansas City Chiefs vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Why the Chiefs can cover 

Wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who is dealing with a heel injury, has been Kansas City’s top weapon in the passing game. Although he has been limited the past three weeks, including a two-catch, 19-yard performance against the Steelers on Dec. 26, he leads the Chiefs in receiving with 111 catches for 1,239 yards and nine touchdowns. Hill has 13 plays of 20 or more yards, including 444 yards after the catch.

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Also posing problems for opposing defenses is tight end Travis Kelce, who is second on the team in receptions. In just 16 games, Kelce has 92 grabs for 1,125 yards (12.2 average) and nine touchdowns. He also has 13 explosive plays of more than 20 yards as well as 63 first-down conversions.

Why the Steelers can cover

Wide receiver Diontae Johnson is one of Pittsburgh’s top weapons on offense. He leads the team with 107 receptions for 1,161 yards (10.9 average) and eight touchdowns. Johnson has had 14 explosive plays of 20 yards or more and has converted 59 first downs. He has had at least five receptions in the last 12 games this season and in 15 of 16 games he has played in.

Another major part of the offense is wide receiver Chase Claypool, who has 59 catches for 860 yards (14.6 average) and two TDs. He has had 13 plays of 20 yards or more and has 36 first-down conversions. Claypool’s best game this season was in a 27-19 win over Denver on Oct. 10. In that game, he caught five of six targets for 130 yards and one touchdown.

How to make Steelers vs. Chiefs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 48 points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model’s Chiefs vs. Steelers pick at SportsLine.

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So who wins Steelers vs. Chiefs during NFL Super Wild Card Weekend 2022? And which side cashes in nearly 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Chiefs spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that returned over $7,400 on its NFL picks over the last six seasons, and find out.

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