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Top NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy, advice for Week 9, 2021: Fade the Cowboys

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After winning back-to-back NFC West titles in 2017 and 2018, the Los Angeles Rams have gone two years without capturing the crown. They have their sights set on returning to the top this season, however, and are tied for first place with the Arizona Cardinals at 7-1. Los Angeles will attempt to strengthen its chances when it hosts the AFC South-leading Tennessee Titans on Sunday. The Rams are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Week 9 odds at Caesars Sportsbook, and many will jump on them with their NFL survivor pool picks.

Other favorites that could attract attention for NFL knockout pool picks include the Buffalo Bills (-14.5 against the Jacksonville Jaguars), Indianapolis Colts (-10.5 against the New York Jets) and Dallas Cowboys (-9.5 against the Denver Broncos). Before making any Week 9 NFL survivor picks, you need to see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-86 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

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It also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.


The model can be used to crush the survivor pool format. The team winning the most model simulations each week is a perfect 8-0 after the Rams (91 percent) pounded the Texans. They joined the 49ers in Week 1 (75 percent), Buccaneers in Week 2 (79 percent), Cardinals and Ravens in Week 3 (79 percent), Bills in Week 4 (87 percent), Patriots in Week 5 (78 percent), Colts in Week 6 (81 percent) and Cards in Week 7 (84 percent) as winners for survivor contestants who used those teams over the first eight weeks. You can only see who the model is backing in Week 9 at SportsLine.

Top Week 9 NFL survivor pool predictions

For Week 9, the model is shying away from the Dallas Cowboys against the Denver Broncos. Dallas ranks first in the NFL in total offense (454.9 yards), second in rushing (152) and third in both passing (302.9) and scoring (32.1 points). Ezekiel Elliott is having a strong season and is the league’s fifth-leading rusher with 571 yards.

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However, the Broncos have played well defensively despite having just a 4-4 record. They are sixth in total defense (325.8 yards) and have given up an average of 17.1 points per game, the second-fewest in the NFL. Even though the Cowboys are riding a six-game winning streak, the Broncos are too dangerous for the model’s projections this week.

How to make Week 9 NFL survivor pool picks

Instead, the model is backing a team whose opponent hasn’t won in nearly a month. Picking this team not only will get you to Week 10, it also will put you in the optimal position to go deep in your NFL survivor pool. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the model’s Week 9 play at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 9 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 9, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL, and find out.

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