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Week 14 NFL player props, best bets, picks, predictions: Patrick Mahomes goes over 307.5 passing yards

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NFC playoff positioning is on the line when the Minnesota Vikings and Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet up on Sunday afternoon at 1 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Bucs as seven-point favorites, and there are also several intriguing NFL player props to consider in that matchup. Dalvin Cook’s over-under for total rushing yards is 84.5 (-115 for over and under). 

Tom Brady’s total passing yardage, meanwhile, is set at 295.5 (over is -105, under is -125). Those are just a couple of hundreds of different player prop bet opportunities for Week 14 of the NFL season. Before making any NFL prop bets, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 20-11 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning almost $800. The model also enters Week 14 on an incredible 116-76 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.


With the Week 14 NFL schedule for Sunday quickly approaching, the model has attacked the NFL player props from William Hill and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.

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Top NFL player prop bets for Week 14

After simulating every Week 14 game 10,000 times and examining the hundreds of player props from William Hill, the model loves Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes to go over 307.5 passing yards (-115). Mahomes leads the NFL in passing yardage (3,815) on the season and he’s been flying over this number recently. 

In fact, he’s cleared it in five straight games. He’s also gone over the 400-yard plateau twice in that span. SportsLine’s model says Mahomes throws for 326 on Sunday against the Dolphins, clearing the prop with some room to spare. 

How to make NFL player prop bets for Week 14

In addition, the model is high on a star receiver to go over his receiving yardage total. The model says this player provides value at this price. You need to see the model’s analysis before making any Week 14 prop bets.

What star receiver goes over his yardage total? And what other prop bets does the model love for Week 14? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Week 14 prop bets, all from the model that’s up more than $7,800 on top-rated NFL picks.

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